Effective January 1, 2011, we adopted IFRS for Canadian publicly accountable enterprises. Our unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial statements for the quarter ended September 30, 2011 (interim financial statements) have been prepared using IFRS. Amounts relating to the year ended December 31, 2010 in this document, our interim financial statements and related third quarter management\'s discussion and analysis (third quarter MD&A) have been recast to reflect our adoption of IFRS. Details of the more significant accounting differences can be found in note 3 to our interim financial statements. Third quarter Net earnings attributable to our shareholders (net earnings) this quarter were $39 million ($0.10 per share diluted) compared to $98 million ($0.25 per share diluted) in the third quarter of 2010. Net earnings were down this quarter primarily as a result of losses on foreign exchange derivatives compared to gains in 2010, partially offset by lower income taxes and the item noted below. The Canadian dollar weakened in the third quarter of 2011 relative to the US dollar, while it strengthened in the third quarter of 2010. On an adjusted basis, our earnings this quarter were $104 million ($0.26 per
share diluted) compared to $80 million ($0.20 per share diluted)
· higher earnings from our uranium business based on higher sales volumes and higher realized prices, partially offset by an increase in the average cost of product sold See Financial results by segment for more detailed discussion. First nine months Net earnings in the first nine months of the year were $186 million ($0.47 per share diluted) compared to $311 million ($0.79 per share diluted) in the first nine months of 2010. Net earnings were lower than in 2010 mainly as a result of the items noted below along with losses on foreign exchange derivatives compared to gains in 2010, partially offset by lower income taxes. On an adjusted basis, our earnings for the first nine months of this year
were $259 million ($0.66 per share diluted) compared to $307 million ($0.78 per
share diluted)
· lower earnings from our electricity business due to lower realized prices, higher costs, and a decline in sales · lower earnings from our uranium business based on an increase in the average cost of product sold and lower sales volumes, partially offset by an increase in the realized price · lower earnings from our fuel services business as a result of an increase in the average cost of product sold and lower realized prices See Financial results by segment for more detailed discussion. Outlook for 2011 Over the next several years, we expect to invest significantly in expanding production at existing mines and advancing projects as we pursue our growth strategy. The projects are at various stages of development, from exploration and evaluation to construction. We expect our existing cash balances and operating cash flows will meet our anticipated requirements over the next several years, without the need for significant additional funding. Cash balances will decline as we use the funds in our business and pursue our growth plans. Our outlook for 2011 reflects the expenditures necessary to help us achieve our strategy. Our outlook for uranium production, exploration, fuel services production, direct administration costs and capital expenditures has changed from the outlook included in our second quarter MD&A. We explain the changes on the next page. All other items in the table are unchanged. We do not include an outlook for the items in the table that are marked with a dash. See Financial results by segment for details.
Our customers choose when in the year to receive deliveries of uranium and
fuel services products, so our quarterly delivery patterns, and therefore our
sales volumes and revenue, can vary significantly. A delivery that was expected
in the third quarter was moved into the fourth quarter. We now expect
deliveries in the fourth quarter to account We now expect uranium production to be 21.7 million pounds this year compared to our previous forecast of 21.9 million pounds. The decrease is due to lower expected production at our US and Inkai operations, partially offset by higher expected production at McArthur River/Key Lake. Please see our Uranium production outlook in our third quarter MD&A for more information. Exploration costs are now expected to increase 0% to 5% over 2010 (previously a 5% to 10% decrease) based on increased evaluation activities at Kintyre. Due to current unfavourable market conditions for UF6 conversion, we are reducing production for this year. We now expect fuel services to produce between 14 million and 15 million kgU this year (previously 15 million to 16 million kgU). We have narrowed the scope of some of our business development activities and now expect our direct administration costs to increase 10% to 15% over 2010 (previously a 15% to 20% increase). We expect capital expenditures to be about $575 million in 2011 compared to our previous estimate of $590 million due to changes in the scheduling of some projects. We do not expect this reduction in capital expenditures in 2011 will impact our plans to double annual uranium production to 40 million pounds by 2018. Sensitivity analysis For the rest of 2011: · a change of $5 (US) per
pound in both the Ux spot price ($52.00 (US) per pound on October 31, 2011) · a change of $5/MWh in the electricity spot price would not change our 2011 net earnings as gains under BPLP\'s financial contracts have been fully locked in for 2011 and based on the assumption that the spot price will remain below the floor price of $50.18/MWh provided for under BPLP\'s agreement with the Ontario Power Authority (OPA) Debt We use debt to provide additional liquidity. We have sufficient borrowing capacity with unsecured lines of credit totalling about $1.2 billion at September 30, 2011, the same as at June 30, 2011. At September 30, 2011, we had approximately $606 million outstanding in letters of credit. On November 1, 2011: · we cancelled our $100 million unsecured revolving credit facility that was maturing February 4, 2012 · we amended, and extended the term of our $500 million unsecured revolving credit facility that was maturing November 30, 2012. This credit facility was increased to $1.25 billion and now matures November 1, 2016. Each year on the anniversary date, and upon mutual agreement, the facility can be extended for an additional year. In addition to borrowing directly from this facility, we can use up to $100 million of it to issue letters of credit and we may use it to provide liquidity for our commercial paper program, as necessary. From time to time we may increase the revolving credit facility above $1.25 billion, by no less than increments of $50 million, up to a total of $1.75 billion. The facility ranks equally with all of our other senior debt. As of November 4, 2011, there was nothing outstanding under this facility. With these changes, our unsecured lines of credit total about $1.9 billion as of November 4, 2011. Adjusted net earnings Adjusted net earnings is a measure with no standardized meaning under Adjusted net earnings
On August 30, 2011, On October 19, 2011, Hathor announced that it had entered into an agreement with Rio Tinto pursuant to which Rio Tinto will make an offer for all of the common shares of Hathor. Rio Tinto subsequently made its offer. We are reviewing the Hathor announcement and Rio Tinto offer. On October 31, 2011, we announced the extension of the expiry date of our offer to November 14, 2011. 1Estimated fully diluted share capital of approximately 139 million shares, based on Hathor\'s public disclosure. Uranium market update The uranium market during the third quarter can be characterized as
uncertain. We expect this uncertainty to continue in the near to medium term as
the industry continues to determine the extent to which short- Germany, which has 17 nuclear reactors and represents 5% of the global generating capacity, has decided to revert to its previous phase out policy. Currently, eight of its reactors (about 2% of global generating capacity) are shutdown; we do not expect these reactors to restart. Germany has indicated it plans to shut down the remaining nine reactors by 2022. In Japan, 11 of its 54 nuclear reactors are currently operating. Many of the
reactors currently Despite Other previously We are in the enviable position of being heavily committed under Caution about This discussion of the expected impact of the March 2011 nuclear incident in
Japan, including its potential impact on future global uranium demand and the
number of operating reactors, Financial results by segment Uranium
Production volumes this quarter were 5% lower compared to the third quarter
of 2010 primarily due to lower production from Smith Uranium revenues this quarter were up 38% compared to 2010, due to a 29% increase in sales volumes and a 7% increase in the realized selling price. Our realized prices this quarter were higher than the third quarter of 2010
mainly due to higher prices under Total cash cost of sales (excluding DDR) increased by 68% ($165 million compared to $98 million in 2010). This was mainly the result of the following: · the 29% increase in sales volumes · average unit costs for produced uranium were 32% higher largely due to standby costs paid to AREVA relating to the McClean Lake mill. As well, royalty charges in 2011 were higher due to higher deliveries of produced material and higher realized prices. · average unit costs for purchased uranium were 21% higher due to increased purchases at spot prices The net effect was a $25 million increase in gross profit for the quarter. The following table shows our cash cost of sales per unit (excluding DDR) for produced and purchased material, including royalty charges on produced material, and the quantity of produced and purchased uranium sold.
Production volumes for the first nine months of the year were 4% lower than
in the previous year mainly due to lower production from Smith For the first nine months of 2011, uranium revenues were down 2% compared to 2010, due to a 7% decline in sales volumes partially offset by a 6% increase in the realized selling price. Our realized prices were higher than the first nine months of 2010 mainly
due to higher prices under Total cash cost of sales (excluding DDR) increased by 6% ($487 million compared to $460 million in 2010). This was mainly the result of the following: · average unit costs for produced uranium were 10% higher due to increased unit production costs relating to the lower production during the first nine months · standby costs paid to AREVA relating to the McClean Lake mill · average unit costs for purchased uranium were 22% higher due to increased purchases at spot prices The net effect was a $24 million decrease in gross profit for the first nine months. The following table shows our cash cost of sales per unit (excluding DDR) for produced and purchased material, including royalty charges on produced material, and the quantity of produced and purchased uranium sold.
Please see our third quarter MD&A for updates to our uranium price sensitivity analysis. Fuel services (includes results for UF6, UO2 and fuel fabrication)
Total revenue was $17 million higher than in 2010 due to a 7% increase in the average realized price for our fuel services products along with an 18% increase in sales volumes. Our realized price for fuel services was affected by a 5% increase in our realized price for UF6 as well as the mix of products delivered in the quarter. In 2011, a higher proportion of fuel services sales were for fuel fabrication, which typically yields a much higher price than the other fuel services products. The total cost of products and services sold (including DDR) increased by 34% ($71 million compared to $53 million in the third quarter of 2010) due to the increase in sales volumes along with the mix of products delivered in the quarter. As a result of the product mix, the average unit cost of sales was 13% higher for the quarter. The net effect was a $1 million decrease in gross profit. First nine months In the first nine months of the year, total revenue increased by 2% due to a 4% increase in sales volumes, partially offset by a 1% decline in the realized selling price. The total cost of products and services sold (including DDR) increased by 18% ($170 million compared to $144 million in 2010) due to the increase in the unit cost of product sold. The average unit cost of sales was 15% higher due to the mix of products delivered in the year and the recognition of higher cost recoveries in 2010. The net effect was a $23 million decrease in gross profit. Electricity results Third quarter Total electricity revenue decreased slightly this quarter compared to the third quarter of 2010 due to lower realized prices which were almost completely offset by increased output. Realized prices reflect spot sales, revenue recognized under BPLP\'s agreement with the OPA and financial contract revenue. BPLP recognized revenue of $119 million this quarter under its agreement with the OPA, compared to $41 million in the third quarter of 2010. About 53% of BPLP\'s output was sold under financial contracts this quarter, compared to 46% in the third quarter of 2010. Pricing under these contracts was lower than in 2010. From time to time BPLP enters the market to lock in the gains under these contracts. The capacity factor was 93% this quarter, up from 88% in the third quarter of 2010 due to a lower volume of planned and unplanned outage days when compared to last year. Operating costs were similar at $232 million compared to $229 million in 2010. The result was a 3% decrease in our share of earnings before taxes. BPLP distributed $80 million to the partners in the third quarter. Our share was $25 million. The partners have agreed that BPLP will distribute excess cash monthly, and will make separate cash calls for major capital projects. During the fourth quarter, there is a planned maintenance outage at one unit. First nine months Total electricity revenue for the first nine months decreased 9% compared to 2010 due to lower output and lower realized prices. Realized prices reflect spot sales, revenue recognized under BPLP\'s agreement with the OPA and financial contract revenue. BPLP recognized revenue of $351 million in the first nine months of 2011 under its agreement with the OPA, compared to $224 million in the first nine months of 2010. The equivalent of about 49% of BPLP\'s output was sold under financial contracts in the first nine months of this year, compared to 41% in 2010. Pricing under these contracts was lower than in 2010. From time to time BPLP enters the market to lock in the gains under these contracts. The capacity factor was 87% for the first nine months of this year, down from 90% in 2010 due to a higher volume of outage days during this year\'s planned outage compared to last year\'s planned outage. Operating costs were $735 million compared to $685 million in 2010 due to higher maintenance costs incurred during outage periods and increased staff costs. The result was a 39% decrease in our share of earnings before taxes. BPLP distributed $205 million to the partners in the first nine months of 2011. Our share was $65 million. Operations and development project updates Uranium production overview
At McArthur River/Key Lake, production was 3% higher in the third quarter and 1% higher for the first nine months of the year compared to the same periods last year. These increases were due to better recovery and improved equipment reliability at the mill. We expect the mill to operate through year end with no scheduled shutdown until 2012. At Key Lake, we continued work on the new oxygen, acid and steam plants. Commissioning of the steam plant commenced in the third quarter. We expect that the oxygen, acid and steam plants will all be operating by the end of the year. Smith Production this quarter was 17% lower and 10% lower for the first nine
months of the year compared to the same periods last year due to lower
production from Smith We continue to seek regulatory approvals to proceed with expansions at our various satellite operations in Wyoming and Nebraska. However, we are experiencing some permitting delays. As a result, we do not expect to receive approval to expand Reynolds Ranch this year. We recognize the regulators have a large volume of permits to process. We are working with them to improve communications and ensure we understand and meet their needs. Inkai Production for the quarter was 38% lower and 14% lower for the first nine
months of the year compared to the same periods last year. For the quarter,
lower production was primarily In addition, during 2010, the first year of full operation at Inkai, production benefited from the grade peak associated with multiple new wellfields. As our existing wellfields mature, the grades decrease. Average grades at in situ recovery operations typically stabilize at levels lower than initial years as uranium is recovered from a mix of wellfields of varying maturities. We are ramping up capacity at the Inkai operation in order to accommodate lower grades. We have lowered our production forecast to 2.5 million pounds, a 7% decrease from our initial estimate but in line with the currently approved production level. Inkai\'s supply of sulphuric acid was consistent during the quarter. We experienced brief interruptions to supply during the first six months of the year. We do not anticipate any further interruptions to supply this year. As announced on August 31, 2011, we signed an MOA with our partner, Kazatomprom, to increase production from blocks 1 and 2 to 5.2 million pounds of U3O8 (100% basis). Under the MOA, our share of Inkai\'s annual production will be 2.9 million pounds with the processing plant at full capacity. We will also be entitled to receive profits on 3.0 million pounds. We believe this is a fair and reasonable approach that allows both parties to benefit from changes in the uranium market that were not envisioned when the initial agreements were signed. To implement the increase, we need a binding agreement finalizing the terms of the MOA, government approval and an amendment to the resource use contract. We continue to proceed with delineation drilling and the engineering of infrastructure and the test leach facility at block 3. Cigar Lake The sinking of shaft 2 continues as planned. We expect to reach the main mine workings on the 480 metre level before the end of the year. The final depth of the shaft will be 500 metres. We also continued drilling freeze holes from surface during the quarter. For the remainder of the year, we will focus on carrying out our plans and implementing the strategies we outlined in our annual MD&A. As announced on October 5, 2011, we signed Rabbit Lake will continue to process ore mined on site and has the flexibility to process ore from other sources. We expect the new milling arrangement will have a positive impact on the economics of the Cigar Lake project. To reflect the impact of this new milling arrangement and other developments (such as surface freezing) since the March 2010 Cigar Lake technical report, we are planning to file an updated Cigar Lake technical report with, or prior to, our February 2012 annual information form. The most significant project developments since the March 2010 technical report are: · a decrease in the estimated average cash operating cost to about $18.60 per pound from $23.14 per pound. The reduction in the operating cost estimate is primarily due to the new milling arrangement. · a $189 million increase in our share of the total capital cost at completion to $1.1 billion. The capital cost estimate has increased primarily as a result of the implementation of the surface freeze strategy, general cost escalation, costs to upgrade and expand the McClean Lake mill and improvements to the mine plan. The projected production startup date remains mid-2013. Binding agreements with the owners of the Cigar Lake project and McClean Lake mill are required to proceed with the new milling arrangements. We expect these to be complete before November 30, 2011. Cigar Lake is a key part of our plan to double annual uranium production to 40 million pounds by 2018, and we are committed to bringing this valuable asset safely into production. The intention to mill all Cigar Lake ore at the McClean Lake mill and the
expected benefit of that arrangement, the estimated average cash operating cost
and our expected share of the total capital cost at completion for Cigar Lake,
and our projected production startup
Fuel services production totalled 2.8 million kgU this quarter, compared to 2.3 million kgU in the third quarter of 2010. Production was 22% higher due to the planned maintenance shutdown of the Port Hope UF6 plant in 2010. Production for the first nine months of the year was 11.6 million kgU compared to 11.7 million kgU in the first nine months of 2010. Due to current unfavourable market conditions for UF6 conversion, we are reducing production for this year. We now expect fuel services to produce between 14 million and 15 million kgU this year (previously 15 million to 16 million kgU). Based on the unfavourable market outlook for UF6 conversion, we have discontinued discussions to extend our toll conversion contract with SFL beyond 2016. We remain fully committed to the current contract. Should market conditions improve over the next few years, we would consider resuming our discussions to extend the contract. Qualified persons The technical and scientific information discussed in this document for our material properties (McArthur River/Key Lake, Inkai and Cigar Lake) was approved by the following individuals who are qualified persons for the purposes of NI 43−101: `
This document includes statements and information about our expectations for
the future. When we discuss our strategy, plans and future financial and
operating performance, or other things that have not yet taken place, we are
making statements considered Key things to understand about · It typically includes words and phrases about the future, such as: anticipate, estimate, expect, plan, intend, predict, goal, target, project, potential, strategy and outlook (see examples below). · It represents our current views, and can change significantly. · It is based on a number of material assumptions, including those we have listed on page 13, which may prove to be incorrect. · Actual results and events may be significantly different from what we currently expect, due to the risks associated with our business. We list a number of these material risks on pages 12 and 13. We recommend you also review our annual information form and our annual MD&A, which include a discussion of othermaterial risks that could cause actual results to differ significantly from our current expectations. Examples · our expectations about 2011 and future global uranium supply, consumption, demand and number of operating reactors, including the discussion on the expected impact resulting from the March 2011 nuclear incident in Japan · our expectation that existing cash balances and operating cash flows will meet anticipated requirements without the need for any significant additional funding · the outlook for each of our operating segments for 2011, and our consolidated outlook for the year · our expectation that the
fourth quarter will be strong and fourth quarter deliveries will account · our expectation that we will invest significantly in expanding production at existing mines and advancing projects as we pursue our growth strategy · our expectation that cash balances will decline as we use the funds in our business and pursue our growth plans · our expectation that we will have a solid revenue stream for years to come, even in the event of declining uranium market prices · our future plans for each of our uranium operating properties, development projects and projects under evaluation, and fuel services operating sites Material risks · actual sales volumes or market prices for any of our products or services are lower than we expect for any reason, including changes in market prices or loss of market share to a competitor · we are adversely affected by changes in foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates or tax rates · our production costs are higher than planned, or necessary supplies are not available, or not available on commercially reasonable terms · our estimates of production, purchases, costs, decommissioning or reclamation expenses, or our tax expense estimates, prove to be inaccurate · we are unable to enforce our legal rights under our existing agreements, permits or licences, or are subject to litigation or arbitration that has an adverse outcome · there are defects in, or challenges to, title to our properties · our mineral reserve and resource estimates are inaccurate, or we face unexpected or challenging geological, hydrological or mining conditions · we are affected by environmental, safety and regulatory risks, including increased regulatory burdens or delays · we cannot obtain or maintain necessary permits or approvals from government authorities · we are affected by political risks in a developing country where we operate · we are affected by terrorism, sabotage, blockades, accident or a deterioration in political support for, or demand for, nuclear energy · we are impacted by changes in the regulation or public perception of the safety of nuclear power plants, which adversely affect the construction of new plants, the relicensing of existing plants and the demand for uranium · there are changes to government regulations or policies that adversely affect us, including tax and trade laws and policies · our uranium and conversion suppliers fail to fulfil delivery commitments · we are delayed or do not succeed in remediating and developing Cigar Lake · we are affected by natural phenomena, including inclement weather, fire, flood and earthquakes · our operations are disrupted due to problems with our own or our customers\' facilities, the unavailability of reagents, equipment, operating parts and supplies critical to production, lack of tailings capacity, labour shortages, labour relations issues, strikes or lockouts, underground floods, cave ins, tailings dam failures, and other development and operating risks Material assumptions · our expectations regarding sales and purchase volumes and prices for uranium, fuel services and electricity · our expectations regarding the demand for uranium, the construction of new nuclear power plants and the relicensing of existing nuclear power plants not being adversely affected by changes in regulation or in the public perception of the safety of nuclear power plants · our expected production costs · our expectations regarding spot prices and realized prices for uranium, and other factors discussed in our third quarter MD&A, Price sensitivity analysis: uranium · our expectations regarding tax rates, foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates · our decommissioning and reclamation expenses · our mineral reserve and resource estimates · the geological, hydrological and other conditions at our mines · our Cigar Lake remediation, development and production plans succeed · our ability to continue to supply our products and services in the expected quantities and at the expected times · our ability to comply with current and future environmental, safety and other regulatory requirements, and to obtain and maintain required regulatory approvals · our operations are not significantly disrupted as a result of political instability, nationalization, terrorism, sabotage, blockades, breakdown, natural disasters, governmental or political actions, litigation or arbitration proceedings, the unavailability of reagents, equipment, operating parts and supplies critical to production, labour shortages, labour relations issues, strikes or lockouts, underground floods, cave ins, tailings dam failure, lack of tailings capacity, or other development or operating risks Conference call We invite you to join our third quarter conference call on Monday, November 7, 2011 at 11:00 a.m. Eastern. The call will be open to all investors and the media. To join the call, please dial (877) 240−9772 (Canada and US) or (416) 340−8530. An operator will put your call through. A live audio feed of the conference call will be available on this website. See the link on our home page on the day of the call. Q3 Audio recording now available A recorded version of the proceedings will be available: · on this website, shortly after the call · on post view until midnight, Eastern, December 7, 2011 by calling (800) 408−3053 or (905) 694−9451 (Passcode 2856426 ) Additional information You can find a copy of our third quarter MD&A and interim financial statements on this website, on SEDAR atsedar.com and on EDGAR at sec.gov/edgar.shtml. Additional information, including our 2010 annual management\'s discussion and analysis, annual audited financial statements and annual information form, is available on SEDAR at sedar.com, on EDGAR atsec.gov/edgar.shtml and on this website. Profile We are one of the world\'s largest uranium producers, a significant supplier
of conversion services and one of two Candu fuel manufacturers in Canada. Our
competitive position is based on our controlling ownership of the world\'s
largest As used in this news release, the terms we, us, our and Cameco mean Cameco Corporation and its subsidiaries and affiliates unless stated otherwise. End - Investor inquiries: Media inquiries:
ГЛАВНОЕ
|
|
|